The long and grueling NFL season is winding down and only two teams are left standing. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will face off in the Super Bowl on February 12th on FOX and the FOX Sports app. As usual, the best in the league will be in the spotlight. But who will have the best individual performance in the Big Game, who is also the Super Bowl MVP?
Could it be a household name like Patrick Mahomes? Or Super Bowl newcomers like Jalen Hurts or AJ Brown?
When in doubt, lean on Super Bowl odds to paint the picture. Let’s jump into Super Bowl MVP odds for the 25 players most likely to win the award, along with some expert picks (with all odds via FOX Bet).
ODDS OF WINNING SUPER BOWL LVII MVP*
Jalen Hurts: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
Patrick Mahomes: +120 (bet $10 to win $22 total)
AJ Brown: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Travis Kelce: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Devonta Smith: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Haason Reddick: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Miles Sanders: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Chris Jones: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Frank Clark: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Isiah Pacheco: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Dallas Goedert: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Jerick McKinnon: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Darius Slay: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Marquez Valdez-Scantling: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Brandon Graham: +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total)
Juju Smith-Schuster: +8000 (bet $10 to win $810 total)
Nick Bolton: +10,000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Gardner Minshew: +10,000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Chad Henne: +10,000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
TJ Edwards: +10,000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Quez Watkins: +12500 (bet $10 to win $1,260 total)
Fletcher Cox: +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total)
Josh Sweat: +12500 (bet $10 to win $1,260 total)
Kenneth Gainwell: +12500 (bet $10 to win $1,260 total)
CJ Gardner-Johnson: +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total)
*Odds as of 1/31/2023
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Looking for the best early bets? FOX Sports Betting Analysts Jason McIntyre, Geoff Schwartz and Sam Panayotovich have you covered.
Jason McIntyre’s Best MVP Bet: AJ Brown (+1200)
When the Eagles snagged AJ Brown from the Titans, he helped Philly’s offense make the light-speed leap. He is dominant one-on-one and will certainly have an edge against the Chiefs cornerbacks. In fact, it will be the biggest mismatch in the game. KC has a good defense, but not a great secondary.
You have to go all the way back to Terrell Davis on the Broncos last century to find a RB who was Super Bowl MVP. Since Davis, five receivers have won the award, including Cooper Kupp last year. If you like the Eagles to beat the Chiefs on Super Bowl Sunday, place that bet now.
COLLECT: AJ Brown +1200 to win MVP (bet $10 to win $130 total) at FOX Bet
Geoff Schwartz’s MVP Best Bet: Patrick Mahomes (+120)
If you like the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl on Sunday, you have to love the Chiefs quarterback to win the MVP for his performance in the win. There is no way the Chiefs are going to win without an epic performance from the best player in the sport. Even though there are several pros on the Chiefs roster, the Eagles are still the best team in the league. They have advantages in the trenches, on defense and on special teams. But the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes, the best player on the field.
The Eagles have the No. 1 pass defense in the league. They allow the fewest yards and rank third in passing yards allowed. Mahomes has routinely eaten up these defenses throughout his career, including when he and his team defeated the 49ers in the Super Bowl. This season alone, his Chiefs are 4-0 against the top side–ten defenses He has thrown for an average of 287 yards with 10 touchdowns while completing 70% of his passes against those four teams.
I expect the Chiefs passing game to excel on Sunday because of the Eagles defensive scheme. Philly is also a heavy zone coverage team, and Kansas City has excelled against zone coverage since Mahomes became the starting quarterback. He has twice as many expected points added against zone coverage as the next quarterback since becoming the starter in 2018. He is first in open target percentage against zone and third in yards per attempt. Also, the Chiefs receivers are much better against zone than man.
I only expect the best from Mahomes against the Eagles, and the best could match a Chiefs win.
COLLECT: Patrick Mahomes +120 to win Super Bowl MVP (bet $10 to win $22 total) at FOX Bet
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Sam Panayotovich Best MVP Bet: Haason Reddick (+3000)
Reddick was a wrecking ball in the NFC Championship.
He racked up two sacks in the first quarter and hit Brock Purdy that knocked him out of the game and all but sealed a Super Bowl berth for Philadelphia. Imagine how many more opportunities Reddick would have had for an interception if San Francisco actually called passing plays in the second half.
Reddick’s deadly combination of speed and strength makes offensive lines nearly impossible to contain, and I can’t wait to see what he can do against the always-improvising Patrick Mahomes behind the offensive line.
Obviously, that’s a long shot because quarterbacks usually win the MVP. But there’s a world where the Eagles are flying to a 23-17 victory. If that’s the case and Reddick sacks Mahomes a couple of times and forces a fumble, he’ll have a chance to take home the hardware a la Von Miller in Super Bowl 50.
COLLECT: Haason Reddick +3000 to win Super Bowl MVP (bet $10 to win $310 total) at FOX Bet
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