The NFL the playoffs are in full swing and the divisional round is just around the corner. Kicking off Saturday, the AFC is up first, while the action concludes Sunday with an NFC matchup on FOX.
On Fridays “The Flock,” Colin Cowherd shared his divisional round picks in his latest “Blazin’ 4” recap.
Blazin’ 4: Cowboys cover against 49ers, Bills narrowly beat Bengals
Colin Cowherd shares his NFL divisional round picks in his latest “Blazin’ 4” recap.
No. 4 Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5) in #1 heads (Saturday, 4:30 PM ET)
Shepherd’s Pick, Score Prediction: Jaguars +8.5, Chiefs win 28-20
Pastor’s Thoughts: “The Jags are a young team … They’ve won six in a row. They’ve won eight of their last 10. Their defense has held three of their last four opponents to less than 20 points … Since the week 14, they are averaging 29.5 points per game and their scoring differential is second in the NFL.. They also have the look, they have the players, they have the guys…Kansas City is just 7-9 against the spread . Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 95 against the Chiefs. That’s the highest passer rating allowed among the eight remaining playoff teams. You can move the ball against them. I think Kansas City leads, maybe big, and Jacksonville comes back with late coverage.”
Kansas City Chiefs
No. 6 New York Giants (+7.5) at #1 Philadelphia Eagles (Saturday, 8:15 PM ET, FOX and the FOX Sports App)
Shepherd’s Pick, Score Prediction: Giants +7.5, Eagles win 27-20
Pastor’s Thoughts: “I’ll take the points, even though Philadelphia is better. Eleven of the last 13 NFL playoff games have been decided by one touchdown or less. . . . The Giants’ offense isn’t giving up the ball, the second fewer freebies in the league, Philadelphia will [need] have long drives against this very good defense. The Eagles had a first-round bye. Last year, both teams with a bye lost, and they weren’t playing very well in the bye. They struggled in turnover differential, their points per game was down and down. Jalen Hurts…remember his playoff game? He completed 53% of his throws. I think Philadelphia will look a little rusty. I think the Giants defense will earn them their points. I think Philadelphia is better, but I’ll take the 7.5 points.”
New York Giants
No. 2 Buffalo Bills (-5.5) vs. 3 Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, 3 pm ET)
Shepherd’s Pick, Score Prediction: Bills -5.5, Bills win 31-23
Pastor’s Thoughts: “I think the Bills will win and cover, and it really comes down to a group injury at the worst time. The Bengals are losing both of their offensive tackles and Alex Cappa. I don’t think you can beat that. . … [The Bills have] won 12 of their last 13 at home. Even when they don’t play well, they win. They’ve had several takeaways in three straight games, and Josh Allen has been incredible in the playoffs, looking like a better version of himself. The Bengals, because of the three starters on the offensive line, will no longer have a vertical passing threat. They threw for less than 220 yards in back-to-back games against the [Baltimore] crows They can’t throw the ball deep because Joe Burrow has no time. I think the Bills win. If her O-line was intact, she would feel the exact opposite. I saw Patrick Mahomes without his tackles get crushed in a Super Bowl. I think Cincinnati is in trouble here.”
No. 5 Dallas Cowboys (+3.5) at #2 San Francisco 49ers (Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET, FOX and the FOX Sports app)
Shepherd’s Pick, Score Prediction: Cowboys +3.5, 49ers win 27-24
Pastor’s Thoughts: “[The Cowboys] led the NFL in red zone scoring. So when they get close, they get seven points, not three. They have more Pro Bowlers than San Francisco, seven to six, so it’s not a lack of talent. Takes out the stinker against the commanders. Since Week 7, they are averaging 32 points per game, 390 yards and their third down percentage is first. This is a very good situational team. They are good on third down. They are good in the red zone. They will get sevens instead of threes. Brock Purdy was tight in the first half last week. How do you think he’ll fare against the Cowboys, easily the best defense he’s faced since he’s been a starter?”
San Francisco 49ers
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