FOX sports betting analyst
Want to know a good way to find out how valuable your favorite quarterback is? See what happens to the spread point when injury news is reported.
The NFL The Week 16 prediction board got a shake-up Monday afternoon for arguably the biggest game yet: Saturday’s matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys at 4:25 PM ET on FOX and the FOX Sports App .
FOX Sports NFC East reporter Ralph Vacchiano reported that Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts has a sprained shoulder. With his status uncertain for Saturday, the Eagles-Cowboys line saw a lot of movement, as did the NFL MVP odds market.
Let’s take a look at the injury news from a betting perspective.
RELATED: Jalen Hurts injury news
Philadelphia improved to 13-1 on the season with its 25-20 win over Chicago, while Dallas fell to 10-4 after its surprising 40-34 overtime loss to Jacksonville. Still, oddsmakers opened the Cowboys as short favorites for the Christmas Eve showdown at Jerry’s World, with Dallas consensus -1.5.
However, even before the Hurts news broke, the Cowboys line had advanced to -3 at WynnBet, perhaps anticipating trouble. Once Hurts’ questionable status was confirmed, the line shot the Cowboys -6.5. After about an hour, Dallas dropped a grade to -6 (current odds at FOX Bet).
eagles at cowboys (4:25 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX)
Distribution of points: Cowboys -6 (Cowboys favored to win by 6+ points, otherwise Eagles cover)
Moneyline: Cowboys -278 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $13.60 total); Eagles +205 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $30.50 total)
Total Over/Under Score: 46.5 points scored by the two teams together
“Having a guy like Hurts out is going to get our attention quickly,” WynnBet senior trader Motoi Pearson said. “Even with [Gardner] Minshew to back him up, he’s still worth a decent amount down the line. Not to mention the significant drop in total.”
In fact, the Eagles-Cowboys total opened at 51 and peaked at 51.5 early Monday afternoon at WynnBet. As of mid-afternoon, it dropped steadily before finally stabilizing at 47 (46.5 at FOX Bet).
“We’re looking at this thing through a whole new lens,” Pearson said.
WynnBet indicated that some punters arrived just before the Hurts news, betting on more favorable Cowboys numbers (-3/-4).
Jalen Hurts talks Eagles perseverance against Bears
Jalen Hurts talks to Pam Oliver about the Eagles overcoming mistakes to beat Chicago.
MVP odds are reversed
It wasn’t just this week’s game that was adjusted. So did the NFL MVP odds. Before Hurts’ injury news, he was the favorite to win the award at FOX Bet.
The Eagles QB was also a -145 favorite at PointsBet USA, with Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes not far behind at +130.
After the news, Mahomes jumped to a -200 favorite and Hurts slid back to +200. And the odds move didn’t stop there.
“We originally took Mahomes -200, but now he’s up to -300,” said PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn, noting Hurts is now +400. “Injuries are a bigger liability for us than Muhammad.”
With adjusted NFL MVP odds, Hurts is much closer to Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen (+600) and Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow (+700) than new favorite Eagles QB Mahomes .
Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and a senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. He is based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys playing golf in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
FOX Sports Top Stories:
Read more from the World Cup:
Download the FOX Super 6 app for a chance to win thousands of dollars on the biggest sporting events every week! Just choose your picks and you could win the grand prize. Download and play today!
Get more from the National Football League Follow your favorites for information on games, news and more