NFL odds Week 15: Best bets for Eagles-Bears, Giants-Commanders

Are you ready for college football bowl season?!

Our best bets (35-29-1) are on the green, and I’m shooting with three plays over the next few days. This space is also not the place for a million picks or to talk about five teams. These are my favorite games.

Let’s work with the odds courtesy of FOX Bet.

SMU vs. BYU (7:30 p.m. ET, ABC)

I don’t expect Cougars quarterback Jaren Hall to play.

Hall hasn’t taken a single workout since suffering the injury at Stanford more than two weeks ago. It’s no secret he has NFL aspirations, and sources close to Provo believe there’s no chance Hall will play another game in BYU blue.

So it definitely works in our favor.

The betting line tells us Hall is likely out as well. SMU was a 1.5-2 point favorite at sunrise Tuesday, and that number shot up to -5.5. BYU’s buyback eventually reached +5.5 and +5, and the line is now painted at -4 almost everywhere.

And I’m happy to put four of them on this site.

TO PICK UP: SMU (-4 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 4 points

State of Montana vs. State of South Dakota

Back to the FCS playoffs.

I’m not sure how many Montana State games you’ve seen this season, but this offense rocks. The Bobcats are averaging 45 points per game behind a nearly unstoppable running attack. And they rushed for 300 yards in both playoff games, so they’re cooking on gas.

Also, Montana State’s all-time leading rusher Isaiah Ifanse returned from injury earlier this month and hasn’t skipped a beat. Ifanse paced William & Mary last week for 162 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries.

South Dakota State’s defense is no joke, and I refuse to underestimate how well the Jackrabbits have protected their home field over the years. But wait until you see Montana State run the rock. Offensive versatility is something to behold, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bobcats win outright.

Take the points.

TO PICK UP: Montana State (+5.5 at FOX Bet) to lose by less than 5.5 points (or win outright)

eagles at bears (1 p.m., FOX)

Can’t wait for Jalen Hurts vs. Justin Fields.

Two of the game’s brightest young stars have lit up the scoreboards all year. Philadelphia and Chicago are 9-4 in the “Over” this season, tied for the best mark in football with Detroit. Both teams play with pace and speed, and it’s clear that these quarterbacks can move around the booth.

Hurts and Fields are constantly put in positions to succeed, and when their offensive coordinators entertain extensive play action and zone-read looks, they’re nearly impossible to slow down when they hit daylight with speed.

Let’s not forget how porous Chicago’s defense has been since trading Roquan Smith and Robert Quinn to playoff contenders. The Bears are miserable against the run, and vicariously, their offense has to constantly bounce back in games because of the defense.

Don’t overthink this one.

TO PICK UP: Over 48.5 total points combined for both teams at FOX Bet

Commanders QB Taylor Heinicke Discusses XFL Journey To NFL Week 15 NYG Vs. WAS

Commanders QB Taylor Heinicke Discusses XFL Journey To NFL Week 15 NYG Vs.  WAS

Heinicke sheds light on his journey from the XFL to the NFL and what it took to get where he is today.

giants at commanders (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC)

This Giants team is going to kill me.

Anyone who reads FOX Sports knows that I need New York to win one more game to cash my ticket at “Over” 7 regular season wins. Big Blue started the campaign with seven wins from nine games, but have been unable to reach that elusive eighth win over the last four weeks.

Loss, loss, draw, loss.

The Giants are trending in the wrong direction from a win-loss perspective, but they’ve made you money all season. Cincinnati only [10-3 ATS] has a better record against the spread than New York’s 9-4. Brian Daboll will have his group ready for this one and assuming Saquon Barkley plays better in the rematch, New York should keep it interesting.

I’m biased, but I’m betting on the dog.

TO PICK UP: Giants (+4.5 at FOX Bet) to lose by under 4.5 points (or win outright)

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He will probably pick against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.

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