NFL odds Week 16: How to bet Saints-Browns

The New Orleans Saints head to Ohio to face the Cleveland Browns in a Week 16 NFL game.

Both teams were victorious last weekend. The Saints defeated the Atlanta Falcons in Week 15, while the Browns defeated the Baltimore Ravens in their matchup.

Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective on the Saints-Browns game, from point spread, money line, Over/Under total and expert pick (odds via FOX Beth):

RELATED: Week 16 lines

saints at brown (1 p.m. ET Saturday, CBS)

Distribution of points: Browns -2.5 (Browns are favored to win by more than 2.5 points, otherwise Saints cover)
Moneyline: Browns -162 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $16.17 total); Saints +125 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)
Total Over/Under Score: 32.5 points scored by both teams together

Pick through the FOX Sports NFL Analyst Geoff Schwartz:

This is the most extreme weather game you can have. Temperatures will be near freezing for most of the game, with winds gusting up to 25 miles per hour. These are terrible conditions for attacking football, so you should bet on this game accordingly.

The point total is incredibly low. It sits around 32 – give or take half a point here or there. But even with that low number, I’m playing the Under.

In the last 20 years, we’ve seen 52 games where the wind has been 20 mph or stronger. Of those, five of the eight were played in Cleveland. The final score of these five games was 8-0, 23-17, 21-0, 13-6, 14-0. Saints-Browns will be one of those contests.

The Under hits in these matchups because passing is impossible, so it becomes a run-first affair for both offenses. Well, defenses know this and are prepared to stop the run. The game clock has fewer opportunities to stop, so it runs and runs. Also, adding points through the kicking game won’t be a big part of these teams’ scoring. So you need multiple touchdowns to hit the Over.

Remember, it’s the wind, not the cold, wet conditions, that creates problems for the passing game. And with gusts expected to reach 40 mph, neither quarterback will be able to move the ball downfield regularly.

Oddsmakers have rated it, so the pass totals are also incredibly low. Saints quarterback Andy Dalton’s number is 151.5 and Browns’ Deshaun Watson is 150.5.

The pigskin won’t fly too much this weekend in Cleveland. Take the Under.

COLLECT: Under 32.5 points scored by both teams combined at FOX Bet

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