NFL odds Week 18: Best bets for Titans-Jaguars, Seahawks-Rams, Colts-Texans

The final week of the NFL regular season is upon us, and the College Football Playoff national championship will serve as the exclamation point for a busy weekend of football betting.

Our best bets (40-34-1) are on the green, and I’m rolling with four putts on the weekend. This space is also not the place for a million picks or to talk about five teams. These are my favorite games.

Let’s work with the odds courtesy of FOX Bet.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

The oddsmakers are extremely high on the Jaguars right now.

Legendary Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White has Jacksonville ranked as the eighth-highest team in the NFL. Only the Buffalo Bills, Dallas Cowboys, San Francisco 49ers, Kansas City Chiefs, Cincinnati Bengals, Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Chargers are higher in their system.

The Jags have shown it on the field, too. They beat the Baltimore Ravens (with Lamar Jackson) and Dallas at home and the New York Giants and Tennessee on the road. And they’re doing it thanks to an offense averaging 30 points per game in the last six games.

Tennessee has its third quarterback (Josh Dobbs), its offensive line is one of the worst in the league, and Jacksonville should load the box against star running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are in trouble if they fall behind early.

Put the dots.

COLLECT: Jaguars (-6 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 6 points

Why Aaron Rodgers could fit with Titans next season | THE MANAT

Why Aaron Rodgers could fit with Titans next season |  THE MANAT

Colin Cowherd makes a case for the Green Bay Packers QB to play in Nashville with the Tennessee Titans next season.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Branches of Los Angeles

The Seahawks need a win to keep their playoff dream alive.

Respected money shot Seattle -3 earlier this week and the market is currently up to Seattle -6. I certainly don’t like to put the worst of the numbers, but does Los Angeles care about this game?

The Rams followed up last season’s world championship with a dismal season. Star players Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp have been on the shelf for weeks, the offensive line can’t block anyone and the defense looks a lot different with future Hall of Famer Aaron Donald out of the lineup.

It’s also fair to wonder if Sean McVay’s heart is still there. The 36-year assistant head coach reportedly contemplated retirement after winning Super Bowl LVI and the rumors are swirling again about him exploring other opportunities after the curtain closes on Sunday.

Seattle has every incentive to play hard for 60 minutes, while most of Los Angeles’ players are likely wrapping up their offseason.

I don’t like the number, but I’m in the situation.

COLLECT: Seahawks (-6 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 6 points

Blazin’ 5: Titans, Raiders, Browns cover every divisional game in Week 18

Blazin' 5: Titans, Raiders, Browns cover every divisional game in Week 18

Colin Cowherd shares his Blazin’ 5 picks for Week 18, including the Titans, Browns and Rams covering and winning their divisional matchups.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Ready for Davis Mills vs. Sam Ehlinger?

Both teams are essentially backup quarterbacks, and it’s worth remembering that Jonathan Taylor and Dameon Pierce are out for the season. These are two “Under” teams (they’re a combined 20-12 “Under”), and it’s hard to envision many fireworks given the lack of offensive talent.

There’s also a good chance Houston plays the Possum on Sunday. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that after watching college quarterbacks Bryce Young and CJ Stroud light it up on New Year’s Eve, the Texans were obliterated 31-3 by Jacksonville on New Year’s Day. It’s almost as if the management is reminding everyone what’s at stake in the last few games.

The Texans are so close to the No. 1 overall pick that they can taste him.

Don’t overthink it.

COLLECT: Under 38 Total Points Scored by Both Teams Combined at FOX Bet

Georgia Bulldogs vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Let me start by admitting that I bet against TCU last week.

I still can’t believe Jim Harbaugh called the “Philly Special” at TCU’s two-yard line after Michigan drove down the field on kickoff. That decision derailed the Wolverines’ early game plan, and they never recovered until the second half.

Obviously, the Frogs deserve all the credit in the world, and then some, for getting to this point. But the buck stops there.

Georgia’s combination of skill and speed will be too much for TCU to handle for four quarters. This is an experienced group that is loaded with NFL talent all over the field. Also, don’t underestimate how TCU had basically gone all the way against Michigan and the Frogs barely escaped.

This game gives me a 2013 national title game feel when Alabama shut out Notre Dame in the first half en route to a 42-14.

COLLECT: Georgia (-12.5 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 12 points

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He will probably pick against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.

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