The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8) can clinch the AFC’s third wild-card spot by beating the Cleveland Browns (7-9) on Sunday and get help in two others. NFL games
In addition to a Cleveland win, Pittsburgh needs the New England Patriots (vs. Buffalo Bills) and Miami Dolphins (vs. New York Jets) losses.
The Browns, of course, would love nothing better than to end their season with a win over the Steelers and end their rival’s playoff hopes.
The Steelers lead the all-time series 79-62-1, but the Browns won the first meeting this season 29-17 on Sept. 22.
Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective on the Browns-Steelers game, from point spread, money line, Over/Under total and expert pick (odds via FOX Bet):
RELATED: NFL Week 18 Lines
brown at Steelers (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
Distribution of points: Steelers -2.5 (Steelers are favored to win by more than 2.5 points, otherwise Browns cover)
Moneyline: Steelers -149 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $16.71 total); Browns +115 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $21.50 total)
Total Over/Under Score: 40.5 points scored by the two teams together
Choose using the Gambling Analyst Sam Panaiotovich:
I’ve been riding in Pittsburgh for weeks at the window.
The Steelers defense has been sensational for six straight weeks, holding opponents to just 14.5 points per game during that span. And they’re just punishing bad quarterbacks. to punish
It’s not exactly fair to say Cleveland’s Deshaun Watson is one bad the quarterback (the talent is clearly there), but Watson’s rust cannot be underestimated. The velocity of his throws and his ability to read defenses are not up to par given all the time off and his lack of reps.
Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has been a top-10 team in offensive and defensive DVOA since TJ Watt returned from injury. The Steelers are getting off the field quicker on D, giving the O better scoring opportunities.
I’ll gladly bet Mike Tomlin here.
COLLECT: Steelers (-2.5 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 2.5 points
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