The Los Angeles Chargers take on the Denver Broncos in a Week 18 NFL matchup.
The Chargers were victorious in their game against the rival Los Angeles Rams, while the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Denver Broncos in their weekend matchup.
Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective on the Chargers-Broncos game, from point spread, money line, Over/Under total and stats (odds via FOX Bet):
RELATED: Week 18 lines
chargers at broncos (4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
Distribution of points: Chargers -3 (Chargers favored to win by more than 3 points, otherwise Broncos cover)
Moneyline: Chargers -167 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $15.99 total); Broncos +130 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Total Over/Under Score: 39.5 points scored by the two teams together
Los Angeles Chargers
Dethroned Chiefs atop Nick’s Tiers + Bills & 49ers Move Up Entering Week 18
Nick rounds up all 32 NFL teams, including his beloved Kanas City Chiefs, the NFC Super Bowl’s San Francisco 49ers, and the rival Buffalo Bills.
Insights from the FOX Sports Gambling Expert Warren Sharp:
This game is as simple as they come from a betting perspective. Chalk it up to one of the many ways the NFL completely botched its schedule for Week 18.
Originally, the desire to stop announcing game start times was attributed to a desire to group games that impact each other in the same time slot so that no team decides to bench the starters before the start.
The NFL failed miserably.
Playing the Chiefs game ahead of the invoices game, Buffalo can no longer win the 1-seed if the Chiefs win and can approach their game differently against the patriots.
Playing the crows game before the Chargers game, the Chargers will know if they are locked into the highest possible seed (5-seed) if Baltimore loses. And if the Ravens, injured by seven points, lose against the bengalswhich seems likely based on the spread, the Chargers likely sitting all the key players.
The Chargers were 3.5-point favorites Wednesday morning. But at 3 p.m. ET, the NFL announced that the Ravens-Bengals game would be played at 1 p.m. instead of 4:25 p.m. (the same time as the Chargers game). Within 45 minutes of that announcement, the Chargers line went from putting up 3.5 points against the Broncos in the game to being a pick-em. And in another 45 minutes, the Broncos became favorites by 2.5 points.
I was able to make several correlated bets that are quite +EV, especially now. First, I used the Bengals money line on the Broncos money line. If the Bengals won, the Chargers would be rested, allowing an easier path for the Broncos to win. When the Broncos line started moving, I joked the Broncos through 3rd and 7 and paired them with the Bengals all the way to the 3rd.
Unfortunately, the extreme value is no longer the same, but the moneyline is still correlated and could be a bet that is +EV.
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